Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

Hybrid Network Model Based on Data Enhancement for Short-term Power Prediction of New PV Plants
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Anhui Province Key Laboratory of Renewable Energy Utilization and Energy Saving, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China
2.State Grid Anhui Electric Power Research Institute, Hefei 230061, China

Fund Project:

This work was supported by the Regional Innovation and Development Joint Fund of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. U19A20106), the Science and Technology Major Projects of Anhui Province (No. 202203f07020003), and the Science and Technology Project of State Grid Corporation of China (No. 52120522000F).

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    Abstract:

    This study proposes a hybrid network model based on data enhancement to address the problem of low accuracy in photovoltaic (PV) power prediction that arises due to insufficient data samples for new PV plants. First, a time-series generative adversarial network (TimeGAN) is used to learn the distribution law of the original PV data samples and the temporal correlations between their features, and these are then used to generate new samples to enhance the training set. Subsequently, a hybrid network model that fuses bi-directional long-short term memory (BiLSTM) network with attention mechanism (AM) in the framework of deep & cross network (DCN) is constructed to effectively extract deep information from the original features while enhancing the impact of important information on the prediction results. Finally, the hyperparameters in the hybrid network model are optimized using the whale optimization algorithm (WOA), which prevents the network model from falling into a local optimum and gives the best prediction results. The simulation results show that after data enhancement by TimeGAN, the hybrid prediction model proposed in this paper can effectively improve the accuracy of short-term PV power prediction and has wide applicability.

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History
  • Received:November 16,2022
  • Revised:March 18,2023
  • Adopted:
  • Online: January 22,2024
  • Published: