Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

Impact of increased renewables on natural gas markets in easternUnited States
Author:
Affiliation:

1 Institute for Data, Systems, and Society, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA 2 Department of Mechanical Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, USA

Fund Project:

This work was supported by National ScienceFoundation (NSF) initiative Award (No. EFRI-1441301). We wouldalso like to acknowledge Christopher Knittel at MIT, Matt White andEugene Litvinov at ISO-NE and Don Santa at INGAA for severaluseful discussions.

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    Abstract:

    This paper explores the market structures of natural gas and electricity as well as the interdependence of natural gas prices and bids with increasing reliance on natural gas as the penetration of renewable energy resources increases in order to complement their intermittencies. In particular, the paper will attempt to answer the following two questions: What could the generation mix look like in 2030 with a renewable-rich generation landscape and how could this impact gas prices? How do gas- fired generator (GFG) generation volatility, their prices, and their bids for gas change between 2015 and 2030 with increased penetration of renewables? In order to answer these questions, computational models are derived using forecasting and regression analysis tools and an auction model.

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  • Received:
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  • Online: May 09,2017
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