Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

Schedulable capacity forecasting for electric vehicles based on big data analysis
Author:
Affiliation:

1 Research Center for Photovoltaic System Engineering, School of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China 2 University of New Brunswick, Fredericton, NB E3B 5A3, Canada 3 National Technical University of Athens, 15780 Athens, Greece

Fund Project:

This work was supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51577047) and International Collaboration Project supported by Bureau of Science and Technology, Anhui Province (No. 1604b0602015).

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
    Abstract:

    Fast and accurate forecasting of schedulable capacity of electric vehicles (EVs) plays an important role in enabling the integration of EVs into future smart grids as distributed energy storage systems. Traditional methods are insufficient to deal with large-scale actual schedulable capacity data. This paper proposes forecasting models for schedulable capacity of EVs through the parallel gradient boosting decision tree algorithm and big data analysis for multi-time scales. The time scale of these data analysis comprises the real time of one minute, ultra-short-term of one hour and one-day-ahead scale of 24 hours. The predicted results for different time scales can be used for various ancillary services. The proposed algorithm is validated using operation data of 521 EVs in the field. The results show that compared with other machine learning methods such as the parallel random forest algorithm and parallel k-nearest neighbor algorithm, the proposed algorithm requires less training time with better forecasting accuracy and analytical processing ability in big data environment.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: November 27,2019
  • Published: