Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

A Reliability Model for Integrated Energy System Considering Multi-energy Correlation
Author:
Affiliation:

1.Department of Electrical Engineering, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China;2.State Key Laboratory of Electrical Insulation and Power Equipment, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China;3.Department of Electrical & Computer Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843, USA

Fund Project:

This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 51637008) and the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2016YFB0901900).

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    Abstract:

    An integrated energy system (IES) is a regional energy system incorporating distributed multi-energy systems to serve various energy demands such as electricity, heating, cooling, and gas. The reliability analysis plays a key role in guaranteeing the safety and adequacy of an IES. This paper aims to build a capacity reliability model of an IES. The multi-energy correlation in the IES can generate the dependent capacity outage states, which is the distinguished reliability feature of an IES from a generation system. To address this issue, this paper presents a novel analytical method to model the dependent multi-energy capacity outage states and their joint outage probabilities of an IES for its reliability assessment. To model the dependent multi-energy capacity outage states, a new multi-dimensional matrix method is presented in the capacity outage probability table (COPT) model of the generation system. Furthermore, a customized multi-dimensional discrete convolution algorithm is proposed to compute the reliability model, and the adequacy indices are calculated in an accurate and efficient way. Case studies demonstrate the correctness and efficiency of the proposed method. The capacity value of multi-energy conversion facilities is also quantified by the proposed method.

    表 2 Table 2
    图1 Schematic diagram for generation system and IES.Fig.1
    图2 Operation state space of CHP.Fig.2
    图3 Diagram of CHP capacity outage state space.Fig.3
    图4 Six-segment power and heat load curve.Fig.4
    图5 Internal structure of COSM.Fig.5
    图6 Internal structure of COPM.Fig.6
    图7 Internal structure of CCPM.Fig.7
    图10 Internal structure of CCPM of IESL.Fig.10
    图11 Overall evaluation procedure of capacity adequacy for IES.Fig.11
    图11 Adequacy indices of IES with different heating facilities. (a) Adequacy indices with P2H. (b) Adequacy indices with firm furnaces.Fig.11
    图12 Adequacy indices of IES with P2Hs and firm furnaces.Fig.12
    表 4 Table 4
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History
  • Received:May 11,2020
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: August 04,2021
  • Published: