Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

Short-term Load Prediction of Integrated Energy System with Wavelet Neural Network Model Based on Improved Particle Swarm Optimization and Chaos Optimization Algorithm
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Electrical and Information Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China;2.Concordia Institute for Information Systems Engineering, Concordia University, Montréal, QC H3G 1M8, Canada;3.Sany Heavy Machinery Co., Ltd., Suzhou 215300, China;4.Department of Electrical Engineering, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot 010321, China

Fund Project:

This research was supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2018YFB1500800), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.51807134), and the State Key Laboratory of Reliability and Intelligence of Electrical Equipment, Hebei University of Technology (No. EERI_KF20200014).

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    Abstract:

    To improve energy efficiency and protect the environment, the integrated energy system (IES) becomes a significant direction of energy structure adjustment. This paper innovatively proposes a wavelet neural network (WNN) model optimized by the improved particle swarm optimization (IPSO) and chaos optimization algorithm (COA) for short-term load prediction of IES. The proposed model overcomes the disadvantages of the slow convergence and the tendency to fall into the local optimum in traditional WNN models. First, the Pearson correlation coefficient is employed to select the key influencing factors of load prediction. Then, the traditional particle swarm optimization (PSO) is improved by the dynamic particle inertia weight. To jump out of the local optimum, the COA is employed to search for individual optimal particles in IPSO. In the iteration, the parameters of WNN are continually optimized by IPSO-COA. Meanwhile, the feedback link is added to the proposed model, where the output error is adopted to modify the prediction results. Finally, the proposed model is employed for load prediction. The experimental simulation verifies that the proposed model significantly improves the prediction accuracy and operation efficiency compared with the artificial neural network (ANN), WNN, and PSO-WNN.

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History
  • Received:September 13,2020
  • Revised:
  • Adopted:
  • Online: November 30,2021
  • Published: