Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

Bayesian Deep Learning for Dynamic Power System State Prediction Considering Renewable Energy Uncertainty
Author:
Affiliation:

1.the Academy for Advanced Interdisciplinary Studies, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China;2.the Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518055, China

Fund Project:

This work was supported by the General Program of Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation (No. 2019A1515011032) and the Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Brain-inspired Intelligent Computation (No. 2020B121201001).

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
    Abstract:

    Modern power systems are incorporated with distributed energy sources to be environmental-friendly and cost-effective. However, due to the uncertainties of the system integrated with renewable energy sources, effective strategies need to be adopted to stabilize the entire power systems. Hence, the system operators need accurate prediction tools to forecast the dynamic system states effectively. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian deep learning approach to predict the dynamic system state in a general power system. First, the input system dataset with multiple system features requires the data pre-processing stage. Second, we obtain the dynamic state matrix of a general power system through the Newton-Raphson power flow model. Third, by incorporating the state matrix with the system features, we propose a Bayesian long short-term memory (BLSTM) network to predict the dynamic system state variables accurately. Simulation results show that the accurate prediction can be achieved at different scales of power systems through the proposed Bayesian deep learning approach.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation
Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:December 31,2020
  • Revised:March 02,2021
  • Adopted:
  • Online: July 15,2022
  • Published: