Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

Digital Twin Empowered PV Power Prediction
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Information Science and Engineering, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004, China;2.Department of Informatics, University of Oslo, Oslo 0316m, Norway;3.Department of Computer Science, Aalborg University, Aalborg 9220, Denmark;4.Electrification and Energy Infrastructures Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37830, USA;5.Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Denver, Denver, CO 80208, USA

Fund Project:

This work was supported by European Horizon 2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions (No. 101023244).

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    Abstract:

    The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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History
  • Received:May 24,2023
  • Revised:August 19,2023
  • Adopted:
  • Online: September 25,2024
  • Published: