Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy

ISSN 2196-5625 CN 32-1884/TK

Statistical Measure for Risk-seeking Stochastic Wind Power Offering Strategies in Electricity Markets
Author:
Affiliation:

1.School of Electric Power, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510641, China
2.College of Information Engineering, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, China
3.School of Electrical Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning, China

Fund Project:

This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (No. 2019A1515010689).

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    Abstract:

    This study proposes a statistical measure and a stochastic optimization model for generating risk-seeking wind power offering strategies in electricity markets. Inspired by the value at risk (VaR) to quantify risks in the worst-case scenarios of a profit distribution, a statistical measure is proposed to quantify potential high profits in the best-case scenarios of a profit distribution, which is referred to as value at best (VaB) in the best-case scenarios. Then, a stochastic optimization model based on VaB is developed for a risk-seeking wind power producer, which is formulated as a mixed-integer linear programming problem. By adjusting the parameters in the proposed model, the wind power producer can flexibly manage the potential high profits in the best-case scenarios from the probabilistic perspective. Finally, the proposed statistical measure and risk-seeking stochastic optimization model are verified through case studies.

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History
  • Received:April 04,2021
  • Revised:July 27,2021
  • Adopted:
  • Online: September 24,2022
  • Published: